Preface:
I have not done any extensive research into the following piece of information. I simply googled how to predict race times based on my most recent 5K time.
First, I'll present my three resources (click for link):
Next, I'll present the predictors' results based on my Shamrock Run 5K time:
5k
|
10k
|
Half Marathon
|
Marathon
|
|
Jeff Galloway
|
26:41
|
57:24
|
2:06:33
|
4:34:11
|
Marathon Guide
|
26:41
|
55:53
|
2:03:55
|
4:19:32
|
Runner’s World
|
26:41
|
55:38
|
2:02:45
|
4:15:55
|
I thought it was interesting how different the Galloway times were from the other two. Since I've been battling a small knee injury this year, I decided to go with the Galloway predictions for my 5k training until it heals. If my injury seems to improve before half marathon training, I may go for one of the others.
The other thing I noticed was the familiarity of a couple of those marathon times. The Galloway marathon time is roughly the time from my first marathon in 2005 (4:35:57). The Runner's World time was my goal for the Columbus marathon this past October (I ran 5:03). I know there are SO MANY FACTORS that contribute to race times but it doesn't keep me from thinking to hard about it! I've learned a lot from last year's training and I'm really looking forward to the rest of my racing year!
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